East Carolina
W-L: ( 4- 7) PR = 82.4658Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 H Queens Atlantic Sun ( 3- 9, 77.6) 14- 4 214 H Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun ( 8- 5, 80.7) 8-12 221 H Elon Colonial ( 6- 6, 83.4) 12- 9 225 A Duke ACC ( 9- 5, 90.7) 10-18 228 H San Diego State Big 12 ( 2-10, 79.4) 15- 7 308 A Campbell Colonial ( 9- 5, 81.2) 9-16 314 A James Madison AAC ( 7- 6, 89.9) 10-16 321 H Temple AAC ( 9- 4, 85.4) 8- 7 328 A North Carolina ACC (11- 1, 99.9) 3-23 331 A Virginia Tech ACC ( 8- 7, 86.9) 10-14 404 A Vanderbilt AAC ( 7- 6, 85.5) 7-16 408 A William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 5, 80.9) 411 H Old Dominion AAC ( 5- 9, 75.3) 415 A High Point Big South ( 3- 8, 81.3) 418 A South Florida AAC ( 8- 3, 88.1) 425 H UNC-Charlotte AAC ( 6- 6, 79.6)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
208 H Queens 14- 4 10 6 + 3.96
214 H Coastal Carolina 8-12 -4 3 --- -7.00
221 H Elon 12- 9 3 0 + 2.74
225 A Duke 10-18 -8 -9 1.43
228 H San Diego State 15- 7 8 4 + 3.76
308 A Campbell 9-16 -7 0 --- -7.07
314 A James Madison 10-16 -6 -9 + 2.66
321 H Temple 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.68
328 A North Carolina 3-23 -20 -19 0.00
331 A Virginia Tech 10-14 -4 -6 1.64
404 A Vanderbilt 7-16 -9 -4 -- -4.80
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Coastal Carolina 8-12 -4 3 --- -7.00 308 A Campbell 9-16 -7 0 --- -7.07 404 A Vanderbilt 7-16 -9 -4 -- -4.80 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 H Queens 14- 4 10 6 + 3.96 221 H Elon 12- 9 3 0 + 2.74 228 H San Diego State 15- 7 8 4 + 3.76 314 A James Madison 10-16 -6 -9 + 2.66 321 H Temple 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.68 |
East Carolina Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | East Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Carolina | |
| Albany | Albany | Albany | ||
| American | East Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Carolina | |
| Arizona State | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Austin Peay | East Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | East Carolina | |
| Binghamton | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Boston College | Boston College | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Boston College | |
| Boston University | Boston University | Boston University | ||
| Brown | Brown | Brown | ||
| Bryant | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Bucknell | Bucknell | Bucknell | ||
| Butler | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| California | California | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | California | |
| Campbell | Campbell | Campbell | ||
| Canisius | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Central Connecticut | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Central Michigan | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Cincinnati | East Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Carolina | |
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | ||
| Colgate | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Colorado | |
| Columbia | Columbia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Columbia | |
| Connecticut | Connecticut | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Connecticut | |
| Cornell | Cornell | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | Dartmouth | ||
| Davidson | Davidson | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Davidson | |
| Delaware | Delaware | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Delaware | |
| Delaware State | East Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Carolina | |
| Denver | Denver | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Denver | |
| Detroit Mercy | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Drexel | Drexel | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Drexel | |
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Duquesne | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Eastern Michigan | East Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Carolina | |
| Elon | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Fairfield | Fairfield | Fairfield | ||
| Fairleigh Dickinson | East Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Carolina | |
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Florida State | East Carolina | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | East Carolina | |
| Furman | East Carolina | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | East Carolina | |
| Gardner Webb | East Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Carolina | |
| George Mason | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| George Washington | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | Georgetown | ||
| Harvard | Harvard | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Harvard | |
| High Point | East Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | East Carolina | |
| Hofstra | Hofstra | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Hofstra | |
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Howard (DC) | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Iona | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | Jacksonville 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| James Madison | James Madison | James Madison | ||
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Kennesaw State | East Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Carolina | |
| Kent State | East Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Carolina | |
| La Salle | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Lafayette | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Le Moyne | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Lehigh | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Liberty | East Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Carolina | |
| Lindenwood | East Carolina | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | East Carolina | |
| LIU | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Longwood | East Carolina | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | East Carolina | |
| Louisville | Louisville | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Louisville | |
| Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | ||
| Manhattan | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Marist | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Marquette | Marquette | Marquette | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Maryland | |
| Massachusetts | Massachusetts | Massachusetts | ||
| Massachusetts-Lowell | East Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Carolina | |
| Mercer | Mercer | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Mercer | |
| Mercyhurst | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Merrimack | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Monmouth (NJ) | East Carolina | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | East Carolina | |
| Mount St Marys | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| New Hampshire | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| New Haven | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Niagara | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| North Carolina | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northwestern | |
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Notre Dame | |
| Ohio State | Ohio State | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Ohio State | |
| Old Dominion | East Carolina | East Carolina 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Oregon | East Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Carolina | |
| Penn | Penn | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn | |
| Penn State | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Presbyterian | East Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Carolina | |
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton | ||
| Queens | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Quinnipiac | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Radford | East Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Carolina | |
| Rhode Island | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Richmond | Richmond | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Richmond | |
| Rider | East Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Carolina | |
| Robert Morris | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Rutgers | |
| Sacred Heart | East Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Carolina | |
| San Diego State | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Siena | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| South Florida | South Florida | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | South Florida | |
| Southern California | Southern California | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Southern California | |
| St Bonaventure | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| St Josephs (PA) | St Josephs (PA) | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Josephs (PA) | |
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Stetson | East Carolina | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | East Carolina | |
| Stonehill | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Stony Brook | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Temple | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Towson | Towson | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Towson | |
| UC Davis | UC Davis | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UC Davis | |
| UMBC | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| UNC-Charlotte | East Carolina | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | East Carolina | |
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| VCU | VCU | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | VCU | |
| Vermont | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Villanova | Villanova | Villanova | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Virginia | |
| Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | ||
| Wagner | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| William & Mary | East Carolina | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | East Carolina | |
| Winthrop | East Carolina | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | East Carolina | |
| Wofford | East Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Carolina | |
| Xavier | East Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Carolina | |
| Yale | Yale | Yale | ||
| Youngstown State | East Carolina | East Carolina |
PowerWise = 70
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.45
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Queens ( 3- 9, 77.6) 14- 4 -22.26 18.45 -1.22 1.13 39.01
0 H Coastal Caroli ( 8- 5, 80.7) 8-12 -19.22 21.49 -1.22 1.13 -11.56
0 H Elon ( 6- 6, 83.4) 12- 9 -16.48 24.23 -1.22 1.13 52.09
0 A Duke ( 9- 5, 90.7) 10-18 -9.22 31.49 1.22 1.13 -4.53
0 H San Diego Stat ( 2-10, 79.4) 15- 7 -20.45 20.25 -1.22 1.13 43.09
0 A Campbell ( 9- 5, 81.2) 9-16 -18.72 21.98 1.22 1.13 -9.91
0 A James Madison ( 7- 6, 89.9) 10-16 -9.99 30.72 1.22 1.13 -4.96
0 H Temple ( 9- 4, 85.4) 8- 7 -14.54 26.16 -1.22 1.13 56.48
0 A North Carolina (11- 1, 99.9) 3-23 -0.00 40.71 1.22 1.13 -0.69
0 A Virginia Tech ( 8- 7, 86.9) 10-14 -13.01 27.70 1.22 1.13 -6.67
0 A Vanderbilt ( 7- 6, 85.5) 7-16 -14.45 26.26 1.22 1.13 -7.49
------
144.85
|
winning pts = 190.6674 losing points = -45.8170
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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